My non-scientific odds on McCain's VP selection have been something like the following:
- 35% - Joe Lieberman or, if his polling is poor, another nominee designed to draw the Jewish vote, such as the abominable Eric Cantor (who theoretically helps in his home state of Virginia while also helping peel off a portion of the Jewish vote in Florida).
- 30% - A woman, to boost McCain's push to convince deluded female Clinton supporters (no, I don't respect them; sorry). Now that Carly Fiorina has made a fool of herself on various occasions, a leading candidate is Meg Whitman, the former eBay CEO that McCain mentioned in the Saddleback Church/Rick Warren "Forum on Faith" as one of the three most important people that he listens to.
- 20% - Mitt Romney. Please, please, please, let it be Romney. McCain cannot be that stupid, but please, please, please, let it be Romney!
- 15% - Wildcard pick (Tim Pawlenty, perhaps, if McCain decides to play it safe with his base).
The odds on the first two categories have remained strong as a result of Barack Obama's white bread choice of Joe Biden as his veep running mate. That choice, which I hope doesn't come back to haunt Barack, gives McCain the opportunity to make a choice that looks "bold." I don't think I'm very happy about this.
Have I mentioned how much I would like to see Mitt Romney on the Republican ticket?